Rochdale vs Barnet: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Barnet?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,882) and Barnet (1,925).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Barnet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 21Kane Taylor
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 1Nils Ramming
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Barnet have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rochdale wins, 1 draw, 3 Barnet wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Rochdale 0-4 Barnet | National League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Barnet 2-1 Rochdale | National League |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Barnet 2-0 Rochdale | National League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rochdale 4-2 Barnet | National League |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Barnet 0-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Rochdale 2-0 Barnet | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 10 matches) and Barnet sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Rochdale vs Barnet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Barnet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Barnet played?
- Rochdale vs Barnet is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.