Flota Świnoujście vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Kluczevia Stargard?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-3 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Flota Świnoujście.
- Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Flota Świnoujście vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsUnia Swarzędz
- Oct 24, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsGrom Nowy Staw
- Oct 24, 2026KaliszvsPolonia Środa
- Oct 24, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsElana Toruń
- Oct 24, 2026LuzinovsLech Poznań II
- Oct 24, 2026Victoria WrześniavsNoteć Czarnków
- Oct 24, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsWda Świecie
- Oct 24, 2026Lipno StęszewvsGedania Gdansk