Forest Green vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Forest Green the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forest Green wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Forest Green (1,842) and Chesham United (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Forest Green vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Forest Green
4-3-3- 7K. McAllister
- 20Sean Etaluku
- 19J. Marquez
- 6T. Campbell
- 29K. Abrefa
- 4J. Clarke
- 5K. Ajayi
- 27F. Sass
- 26Filozofe Mabete
- 3N. Kengni
- 1E. Ross
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ware(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Forest Green wins, 1 draw, 0 Chesham United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesham United 0-0 Forest Green | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Forest Green on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Forest Green vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Forest Green the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Chesham United played?
- Forest Green vs Chesham United is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.