Cuiaba vs São Bernardo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá, Mato Grosso
The Footlab AI model makes Cuiaba the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for São Bernardo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cuiaba wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Cuiaba (1,727) and São Bernardo (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cuiaba vs São Bernardo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cuiaba
3-4-2-1- 90Fábio Gomes
- 77Jean Dias
- 2Igor Inocêncio
- 36Lorenzo
- 30Raul
- 20David Miguel
- 41Kauan
- 5Calebe
- 4Vitor Mendes
- 13João Basso
- 1João Carlos
São Bernardo
3-4-3- 29Pedrinho
- 9Felipe Garcia
- 10Fabrício Daniel
- 26Eduardo
- 2Rodrigo Ferreira
- 6Pará
- 14Lucas Lima
- 35Jemerson
- 97Augusto
- 90Luizão
- 1Alex Alves
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cuiaba have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; São Bernardo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Avai(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CRB(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | CRB(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Cuiaba wins, 1 draw, 0 São Bernardo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | São Bernardo 2-2 Cuiaba | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: São Bernardo vs Cuiaba on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cuiaba score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; São Bernardo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| São Bernardo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cuiaba sit 11th in Serie B (47 points from 33 matches) and São Bernardo sit 12th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 46 |
A question about Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cuiaba the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for São Bernardo.
- Where and when is Cuiaba vs São Bernardo played?
- Cuiaba vs São Bernardo is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Pantanal, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.