Athletic Club vs Ceara: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Ceara?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Athletic Club (1,718) and Ceara (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club vs Ceara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club
3-5-1-1- 11Max
- 10Kauan Lindes
- 17Kauan
- 16João Miguel
- 23Enzo
- 15Jota
- 22Diogo Batista
- 4Lucas Belezi
- 3Jhonatan
- 19J. Torres
- 1Luan Polli
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ceara have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo SP(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Athletic Club wins, 1 draw, 0 Ceara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | Ceara 0-0 Athletic Club | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Ceara vs Athletic Club on Jul 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 14th in Serie B (43 points from 33 matches) and Ceara sit 13th (43 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 43 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 43 |
A question about Athletic Club vs Ceara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Ceara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Ceara played?
- Athletic Club vs Ceara is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Joaquim Portugal, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.