Match

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta: prediction and stats

Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma, Santa Catarina

CriciumaPonte Preta

The Footlab AI model makes Criciuma the favourite at 82%, against 14% for a draw and 4% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Criciuma starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,504).

82%14%4%
Criciuma winDrawPonte Preta win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Criciuma

3-4-3
  1. 91R. Otero
  2. 7Fellipe Mateus
  3. 9Nicolas
  1. 14Ronald
  2. 22Marcelo Hermes
  3. 6Marcinho
  4. 41Jean Irmer
  1. 3Rodrigo
  2. 4Luciano Castán
  3. 37César Martins
  1. 32Airton

Ponte Preta

3-4-1-2
  1. 9Brandão
  2. 18David da Hora
  1. 3Lucas Cunha
  2. 5Rodrigo Souza
  3. 13Diego Porfírio
  4. 2Julio
  5. 16Juan
  1. 14Danilo Barcelos
  2. 44Gustavo Almeida
  3. 23S. Palacios
  1. 30Vinicius

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 12:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Criciuma have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ponte Preta have 1, 2 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Criciuma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Londrina(away)2-0Serie B
Sep 27, 2026Avai(home)3-0Serie B
Sep 22, 2026Operario-PR(home)0-2Serie B
Sep 13, 2026Atletico Goianiense(away)0-4Serie B
Sep 9, 2026Juventude(home)0-2Serie B
Ponte Preta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Juventude(home)0-2Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Cuiaba(away)0-2Serie B
Sep 29, 2026Botafogo SP(away)0-2Serie B
Sep 20, 2026CRB(home)1-0Serie B
Sep 15, 2026Londrina(away)0-6Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Criciuma wins, 3 draws, 0 Ponte Preta wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 8, 2026Ponte Preta 1-2 CriciumaSerie B
Aug 2, 2023Criciuma 2-1 Ponte PretaSerie B
Apr 22, 2023Ponte Preta 1-2 CriciumaSerie B
Oct 29, 2022Ponte Preta 1-1 CriciumaSerie B
Jul 15, 2022Criciuma 1-1 Ponte PretaSerie B
Apr 9, 2021Criciuma 1-1 Ponte PretaCopa Do Brasil

Last archived meeting: Ponte Preta vs Criciuma on Jul 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Criciuma score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ponte Preta score 0.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Criciuma1.01.173/154/15
Ponte Preta0.42.314/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Criciuma sit 5th in Serie B (53 points from 31 matches) and Ponte Preta sit 20th (13 points from 32 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Criciuma311588332753
20Ponte Preta323425176813

A question about Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
The Footlab AI model makes Criciuma the favourite at 82%, against 14% for a draw and 4% for Ponte Preta.
Where and when is Criciuma vs Ponte Preta played?
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Heriberto Hülse, in the Serie B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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