NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
On Elo ratings, NEC Nijmegen has 1,995 points and Fortuna Sittard 1,906.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 77A. Thomas
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 21T. Storm
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 12N. Polster
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2- 9A. Descotte
- 10O. Romeny
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 20É. Michut
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 23P. Brittijn
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 31M. Branderhorst
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NEC Nijmegen wins, 1 draw, 2 Fortuna Sittard wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 3-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 19, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 0-3 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 15, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (8 points from 7 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.