Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba
The Footlab AI model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dodoma Jiji wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Kagera Sugar (1,508) and Dodoma Jiji (1,605).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Dodoma Jiji
4-3-3- 11W. E. Never Tigere
- 9Y. Mgaza
- 29M. Issa
- 21I. Kipagwile
- 28S. Khleffin
- 27N. Munganga
- 13S. Kimweli
- 5H. Beya
- 40G. Michael
- 3A. Bikoko
- 39M. Mussa
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagera Sugar have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Dodoma Jiji have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kagera Sugar win, 2 draws, 3 Dodoma Jiji wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 2-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Dodoma Jiji 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar on Apr 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dodoma Jiji score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagera Sugar sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 8 matches) and Dodoma Jiji sit 4th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji played?
- Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaitaba Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.