Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba
The Footlab model makes Kagera Sugar the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Dodoma Jiji. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Kagera Sugar (1,448) and Dodoma Jiji (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagera Sugar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dodoma Jiji have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kagera Sugar win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dodoma Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 2-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Dodoma Jiji 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar on Apr 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagera Sugar score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dodoma Jiji score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagera Sugar sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Dodoma Jiji sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Kagera Sugar the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Dodoma Jiji.
- Where and when is Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji played?
- Kagera Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaitaba Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.