Mashujaa vs Tabora United: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Mashujaa, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tabora United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Tabora United?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Mashujaa (1,525) and Tabora United (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tabora United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | KMC(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mashujaa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tabora United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Mashujaa 1-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Tabora United 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Mashujaa 3-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Tabora United 1-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 12, 2024 | Tabora United 1-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Mashujaa 1-1 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Mashujaa vs Tabora United on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tabora United score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Tabora United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 9th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 3 matches) and Tabora United sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mashujaa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Tabora United?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Mashujaa, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tabora United.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Tabora United played?
- Mashujaa vs Tabora United is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.