Young Africans vs Mashujaa: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 85%, against 12% for a draw and 3% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Mashujaa?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,971 Elo points against 1,534 — a 437-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Mashujaa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Azam(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | KMC(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Young Africans win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mashujaa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Young Africans 6-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Mashujaa 0-5 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Young Africans 3-2 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 5, 2024 | Mashujaa 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Young Africans 2-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Mashujaa vs Young Africans on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mashujaa score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Mashujaa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 2 matches) and Mashujaa sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Young Africans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mashujaa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Mashujaa?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 85%, against 12% for a draw and 3% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Mashujaa played?
- Young Africans vs Mashujaa is played on October 27, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.