Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Majaliwa Stadium, Ruangwa
The Footlab model makes Namungo the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Namungo (1,538) and Polisi Tanzania (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namungo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Polisi Tanzania have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam(away) | 0-8 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Namungo win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Polisi Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | Namungo 0-2 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Namungo 1-2 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Namungo 0-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania on Jan 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Namungo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polisi Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namungo sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and Polisi Tanzania sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Namungo the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania played?
- Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania is played on October 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Majaliwa Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.