Tabora United vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
The Footlab model makes Tabora United the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tabora United vs Geita Gold?
Tabora United starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tabora United have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Geita Gold have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tabora United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Geita Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Tabora United 2-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Geita Gold 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Tabora United vs Geita Gold on Apr 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tabora United score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabora United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tabora United sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 2 matches) and Geita Gold sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tabora United vs Geita Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Tabora United the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Tabora United vs Geita Gold played?
- Tabora United vs Geita Gold is played on October 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.