Frederikssund vs Sundby: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Frederikssund Stadion, Frederikssund
The Footlab model makes Sundby the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Frederikssund. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frederikssund vs Sundby?
Sundby starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,633 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frederikssund have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sundby have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Boldklubben FIX(away) | 3-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | LSF(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | AB Tårnby(away) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Herlev(home) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Næstved II(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Slagelse B&I(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Næsby(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Frederikssund win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sundby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Sundby 3-1 Frederikssund | Denmark Series - Promotion Round |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Frederikssund 3-1 Sundby | Denmark Series - Promotion Round |
Last archived meeting: Sundby vs Frederikssund on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Frederikssund score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sundby score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederikssund | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sundby | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frederikssund vs Sundby?
- The Footlab model makes Sundby the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Frederikssund.
- Where and when is Frederikssund vs Sundby played?
- Frederikssund vs Sundby is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Frederikssund Stadion, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.