Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vendsyssel FF the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Fuglebakken KFUM. The most likely score is 0-4.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF?
Vendsyssel FF is a heavy favourite: 1,841 Elo points against 1,439 — a 403-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuglebakken KFUM have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Vendsyssel FF have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Aalborg KFUM(away) | 3-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aalborg Freja(away) | 0-0 | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad II(away) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Viby(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VRI(home) | 3-2 | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hillerød(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hobro(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hobro(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Fuglebakken KFUM score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vendsyssel FF score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuglebakken KFUM | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Vendsyssel FF | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF?
- The Footlab model makes Vendsyssel FF the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Fuglebakken KFUM.
- Where and when is Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF played?
- Fuglebakken KFUM vs Vendsyssel FF is played on August 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC), in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.