Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Kamatamare Sanuki have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kagoshima United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Kamatamare Sanuki 2-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Kagoshima United 3-2 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| May 29, 2022 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-4 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?
- Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Nov 28, 2026FC RyukyuvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 28, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsGainare Tottori
- Nov 28, 2026Parceiro NaganovsKitakyushu
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