Match

Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SCSagamihara

The Footlab AI model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tochigi SC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,711) and Sagamihara (1,808).

37%27%36%
Tochigi SC winDrawSagamihara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tochigi SC

4-3-3
  1. 10T. Igarashi
  2. 20W. Suzuki
  3. 77J. Nakamura
  1. 17K. Sugimori
  2. 7R. Osako
  3. 13K. Osone
  1. 14S. Suzuki
  2. 88K. Uchida
  3. 3R. Higashi
  4. 6K. Abe
  1. 41R. Tashiro

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Sasaki
  2. 15T. Maeda
  3. 3K. Pytlik
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 24R. Sugimoto
  3. 8Kosuke Kambe
  1. 4T. Shimakawa
  2. 13M. Tokida
  3. 2K. Watahiki
  4. 19S. Okita
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)0-1J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)0-1J3 League
Oct 4, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)0-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)1-2J3 League
Sep 19, 2026Kagoshima United(away)1-3J3 League
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)3-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Osaka(home)1-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)2-2J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Kitakyushu(home)1-2J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tochigi SC wins, 2 draws, 4 Sagamihara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Tochigi SC 0-2 SagamiharaJ2/J3 League
Mar 8, 2026Sagamihara 4-0 Tochigi SCJ2/J3 League
Jul 20, 2025Tochigi SC 1-2 SagamiharaJ3 League
Feb 22, 2025Sagamihara 1-0 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Aug 9, 2021Sagamihara 0-0 Tochigi SCJ2 League
Apr 11, 2021Tochigi SC 0-0 SagamiharaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC1.11.448/157/15
Sagamihara1.91.7410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 16th in J3 League (10 points from 11 matches) and Sagamihara sit 5th (21 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sagamihara11632201221
16Tochigi SC11245111610

A question about Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab AI model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sagamihara.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara played?
Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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