Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoOsaka

The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osaka wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,775) and Osaka (1,773).

27%28%45%
Roasso Kumamoto winDrawOsaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Roasso Kumamoto

4-3-3
  1. 9Bae Jeong-Min
  2. 10Y. Katori
  3. 14Ora Ishihara
  1. 4Rei Yakushida
  2. 5K. Kobayashi
  3. 29N. Mishina
  1. 24Ri Thae-Ha
  2. 41Y. Omoto
  3. 26Shumpei Toda
  4. 30S. Nagashima
  1. 1S. Sato

Osaka

4-4-2
  1. 95K. Isa
  2. 29R. Sugawara
  1. 11G. Yoshida
  2. 17S. Morimura
  3. 14S. Sumida
  4. 10R. Kubo
  1. 2K. Sakamoto
  2. 25Riku Kuwako
  3. 6S. Tachino
  4. 5Y. Minakuchi
  1. 1H. Sugawara

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Osaka have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)3-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Ehime FC(home)0-2J3 League
Oct 2, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)0-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-1J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)1-0J3 League
Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-3J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-1J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)1-2J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kochi United(away)4-0J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto1.00.884/155/15
Osaka1.91.1410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th in J3 League (17 points from 11 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Osaka11452191217
8Roasso Kumamoto1145210617

A question about Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Osaka

Ready to know everything about football?