Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Osaka (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Osaka | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Roasso Kumamoto.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Osaka is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 28, 2026Tochigi SCvsSagamihara
- Nov 28, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Nov 28, 2026FC RyukyuvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 28, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsKamatamare Sanuki
- Nov 28, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsGainare Tottori
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