Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoKitakyushu

The Footlab AI model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Roasso Kumamoto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,775) and Kitakyushu (1,676).

36%29%35%
Roasso Kumamoto winDrawKitakyushu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Roasso Kumamoto

4-3-3
  1. 9Bae Jeong-Min
  2. 10Y. Katori
  3. 14Ora Ishihara
  1. 4Rei Yakushida
  2. 5K. Kobayashi
  3. 29N. Mishina
  1. 24Ri Thae-Ha
  2. 41Y. Omoto
  3. 26Shumpei Toda
  4. 30S. Nagashima
  1. 1S. Sato

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  2. 37K. Yoshida
  3. 52M. Nishimura
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 51Yutaro Sakashita
  1. 3R. Kamihashi
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 20S. Yasumitsu
  1. 31K. Otani

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kitakyushu have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)3-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Ehime FC(home)0-2J3 League
Oct 2, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)0-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-1J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)1-0J3 League
Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Osaka(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Nara Club(away)0-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-3J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roasso Kumamoto wins, 2 draws, 1 Kitakyushu win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 6, 2026Kitakyushu 1-2 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Feb 22, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 4-1 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
May 27, 2024Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 KitakyushuFriendlies Clubs
Nov 10, 2019Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jun 2, 2019Kitakyushu 1-2 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Aug 21, 2016Roasso Kumamoto 1-6 KitakyushuJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto1.00.884/155/15
Kitakyushu1.31.8310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th in J3 League (17 points from 11 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 14th (13 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Roasso Kumamoto1145210617
14Kitakyushu11344151913

A question about Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?
The Footlab AI model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Kitakyushu

Ready to know everything about football?