Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu played?

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso Kumamoto

Kitakyushu

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,698) and Kitakyushu (1,618).

Roasso Kumamoto win44 %

Draw28 %

Kitakyushu win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kitakyushu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 6, 2026	Kitakyushu 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J2/J3 League
Feb 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto 4-1 Kitakyushu	J2/J3 League
May 27, 2024	Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Kitakyushu	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 10, 2019	Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 2, 2019	Kitakyushu 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Aug 21, 2016	Roasso Kumamoto 1-6 Kitakyushu	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu?: The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu played?: Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.