Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori played?

Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

Gainare Tottori

The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,618) and Gainare Tottori (1,692).

Kitakyushu win35 %

Draw26 %

Gainare Tottori win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Gainare Tottori
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Ehime FC(away)	0-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kitakyushu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gainare Tottori win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Gainare Tottori 1-1 Kitakyushu	J2/J3 League
Feb 7, 2026	Kitakyushu 1-3 Gainare Tottori	J2/J3 League
Nov 16, 2025	Gainare Tottori 3-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 28, 2025	Kitakyushu 1-2 Gainare Tottori	J3 League
Jul 6, 2024	Gainare Tottori 1-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 2, 2024	Kitakyushu 1-0 Gainare Tottori	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Kitakyushu on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15
Gainare Tottori	1.5	1.5	1	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gainare Tottori	3	1	1	1	3	6	4
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori?: The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori played?: Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.