Niger vs Gabon: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Père-Jégo, Casablanca
The Footlab AI model makes Gabon the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Niger. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gabon wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niger vs Gabon?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Niger (1,463) and Gabon (1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Niger vs Gabon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Niger
4-2-3-1- 7D. Sosah
- 14A. Muhammad
- 9K. Amoustapha
- 12O. Badamassi
- 12O. Badamassi
- 6Y. Oumarou
- 3O. Sako
- 2R. Alhassane
- 24A. Camara
- 24A. Camara
- 22M. Tandja
Gabon
4-4-2- 10S. Babicka
- 20E. Matouti
- 22D. Ndong
- 12G. Kanga
- 20D. Bouanga
- 17A. Biyogo Poko
- 6U. Mboula
- 19J. Ekomié
- 21J. Oyono
- 4A. Moucketou-Moussounda
- 1J. Amonome
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niger have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gabon have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Algeria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gabon(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lesotho(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Benin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Niger(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 2-2 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Uzbekistan(away) | 1-3 | FIFA Series |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Ivory Coast(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Niger win, 0 draws, 1 Gabon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gabon 2-0 Niger | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Gabon 3-4 Niger | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Niger score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gabon score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niger | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gabon | 1.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niger sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Gabon sit 2nd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Niger vs Gabon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niger vs Gabon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gabon the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Niger.
- Where and when is Niger vs Gabon played?
- Niger vs Gabon is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Père-Jégo, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.