Match

Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishikawa Seibu Stadium, Kanazawa

KanazawaKagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,668).

Kanazawa win27 %
Draw28 %
Kagoshima United win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanazawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kanazawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sagamihara(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Kyoto Sangyo University(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Fukushima United(home)4-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-3J3 League
Jun 7, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)4-1J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)1-0J3 League
Jun 7, 2026Blaublitz Akita(away)2-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Kanazawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kagoshima United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Kanazawa 4-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Feb 23, 2025Kagoshima United 1-2 KanazawaJ3 League
Aug 31, 2019Kanazawa 1-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ2 League
Apr 3, 2019Kagoshima United 0-3 KanazawaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kanazawa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kanazawa1.31.549/157/15
Kagoshima United1.50.848/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kanazawa sit 12th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kagoshima United3210417
12Kanazawa3102783

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa.
Where and when is Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United played?
Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishikawa Seibu Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kanazawa and Kagoshima United

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