Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishikawa Seibu Stadium, Kanazawa
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanazawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 4-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Kanazawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Kanazawa 4-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Kagoshima United 1-2 Kanazawa | J3 League |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Kanazawa 1-2 Kagoshima United | J2 League |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Kagoshima United 0-3 Kanazawa | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kanazawa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanazawa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kanazawa sit 12th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Kanazawa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa.
- Where and when is Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United played?
- Kanazawa vs Kagoshima United is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishikawa Seibu Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsFC Ryukyu
- Nov 21, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsBiwako Shiga
- Nov 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsKitakyushu
- Nov 21, 2026Ehime FCvsFC Gifu
- Nov 21, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsTochigi SC
- Nov 21, 2026Gainare TottorivsParceiro Nagano
- Nov 21, 2026Kochi UnitedvsFukushima United
- Nov 21, 2026Nara ClubvsSagamihara