Kochi United vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno
The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kochi United vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Kochi United (1,636) and Fukushima United (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kochi United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Kochi United 1-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Fukushima United 3-4 Kochi United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Fukushima United on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kochi United sit 11th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kochi United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Kochi United vs Fukushima United played?
- Kochi United vs Fukushima United is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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