Nara Club vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara, Nara Prefecture
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nara Club vs Sagamihara?
Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nara Club have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nara Club win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sagamihara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sagamihara 1-1 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Sagamihara 1-2 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Sagamihara 3-2 Nara Club | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Nara Club vs Sagamihara on Nov 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nara Club | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nara Club sit 14th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nara Club vs Sagamihara?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Nara Club.
- Where and when is Nara Club vs Sagamihara played?
- Nara Club vs Sagamihara is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Konoike Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsFC Ryukyu
- Nov 21, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsBiwako Shiga
- Nov 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsKitakyushu
- Nov 21, 2026Ehime FCvsFC Gifu
- Nov 21, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsTochigi SC
- Nov 21, 2026Gainare TottorivsParceiro Nagano
- Nov 21, 2026Kochi UnitedvsFukushima United