Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka played?

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Osaka

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,661) and Osaka (1,714).

Thespakusatsu Gunma win35 %

Draw26 %

Osaka win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Tohoku Gakuin University(away)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Sagamihara(home)	1-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	1-4	J2/J3 League

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2025	Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-0 Osaka	J3 League
Apr 18, 2025	Osaka 4-3 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Thespakusatsu Gunma	1.7	2.0	2	11/15	11/15
Osaka	1.5	1.4	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
20	Thespakusatsu Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka played?: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.