Match

FC Gifu vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu

FC GifuKitakyushu

The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Gifu vs Kitakyushu?

FC Gifu starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,618).

FC Gifu win59 %
Draw22 %
Kitakyushu win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gifu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Gifu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kagoshima United(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Toyama Shinjo(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kochi United(home)7-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)3-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)1-1J2/J3 League
Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Okinawa SV(home)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)0-0J3 League
Jul 18, 2026Yokohama FC(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Gifu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kitakyushu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2025Kitakyushu 0-1 FC GifuJ3 League
Mar 1, 2025FC Gifu 2-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Sep 21, 2024Kitakyushu 2-0 FC GifuJ3 League
May 6, 2024FC Gifu 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Dec 2, 2023FC Gifu 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Mar 5, 2023Kitakyushu 1-1 FC GifuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs FC Gifu on Sep 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Gifu1.61.256/159/15
Kitakyushu1.11.9210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Gifu sit 1st in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Gifu32101007
15Kitakyushu2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Gifu vs Kitakyushu?
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is FC Gifu vs Kitakyushu played?
FC Gifu vs Kitakyushu is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nagaragawa Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Gifu and Kitakyushu

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