Match

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sunpro Alwin Stadium, Matsumoto

Matsumoto YamagaKanazawa

The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701) and Kanazawa (1,670).

Matsumoto Yamaga win47 %
Draw26 %
Kanazawa win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matsumoto Yamaga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kanazawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Matsumoto Yamaga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ehime FC(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 16, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-3J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Kochi United(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 25, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Nara Club(home)0-2J2/J3 League
Kanazawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sagamihara(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Kyoto Sangyo University(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Fukushima United(home)4-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-3J3 League
Jun 7, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)4-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kanazawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2025Kanazawa 1-0 Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League
May 3, 2025Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 KanazawaJ3 League
Oct 13, 2024Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 KanazawaJ3 League
Apr 6, 2024Kanazawa 6-1 Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League
Sep 19, 2021Kanazawa 1-1 Matsumoto YamagaJ2 League
May 15, 2021Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 KanazawaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kanazawa vs Matsumoto Yamaga on Oct 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kanazawa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Matsumoto Yamaga1.51.248/158/15
Kanazawa1.31.549/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kanazawa sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kanazawa3102783
16Matsumoto Yamaga3021452

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa.
Where and when is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa played?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sunpro Alwin Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Matsumoto Yamaga and Kanazawa

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