Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sunpro Alwin Stadium, Matsumoto
The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701) and Kanazawa (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matsumoto Yamaga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kanazawa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 4-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kanazawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Kanazawa 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| May 3, 2025 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Kanazawa | J3 League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Kanazawa | J3 League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Kanazawa 6-1 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Kanazawa 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga | J2 League |
| May 15, 2021 | Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 Kanazawa | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kanazawa vs Matsumoto Yamaga on Oct 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kanazawa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kanazawa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kanazawa sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kanazawa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
- The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kanazawa.
- Where and when is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa played?
- Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sunpro Alwin Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026FC GifuvsKitakyushu
- Nov 7, 2026Roasso KumamotovsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 7, 2026Ehime FCvsBiwako Shiga
- Nov 7, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsOsaka
- Nov 7, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsFC Ryukyu
- Nov 7, 2026Gainare TottorivsTochigi SC
- Nov 7, 2026Parceiro NaganovsKamatamare Sanuki
- Nov 7, 2026SagamiharavsKagoshima United