Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Netherdale Football Ground, Galashiels
The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical?
Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gala Fairydean Rovers have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gala Fairydean Rovers | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Hamilton Academical | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical?
- The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Gala Fairydean Rovers.
- Where and when is Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical played?
- Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Netherdale Football Ground, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 13, 2026CowdenbeathvsCeltic II
- Oct 13, 2026Airdrie UnitedvsHearts U21
- Oct 13, 2026Stirling AlbionvsHibernian U21
- Oct 13, 2026Banks O' DeevsMotherwell U21
- Oct 13, 2026Annan AthleticvsAlloa Athletic
- Oct 13, 2026Berwick RangersvsQueen of the South
- Oct 13, 2026Ross CountyvsForfar Athletic