Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga played?

Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the Emperor Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Biwako Shiga

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 3-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga?

Gamba Osaka is a heavy favourite: 2,023 Elo points against 1,712 — a 311-point gap.

Gamba Osaka win83 %

Draw11 %

Biwako Shiga win6 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Biwako Shiga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	3-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Japan Soccer College(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(away)	3-2	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	0-3	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Tochigi City(away)	1-3	J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15
Biwako Shiga	1.2	2.0	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Biwako Shiga.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga played?: Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.