Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi
The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Biwako Shiga (1,713) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 1-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Biwako Shiga win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 3-2 Biwako Shiga | J2/J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Biwako Shiga 1-3 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Biwako Shiga on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Biwako Shiga sit 6th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026FC GifuvsTochigi SC
- Aug 29, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsNara Club
- Aug 29, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKagoshima United
- Aug 29, 2026FC RyukyuvsSagamihara
- Aug 30, 2026KitakyushuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Aug 30, 2026Parceiro NaganovsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Aug 30, 2026Kochi UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Aug 30, 2026KanazawavsEhime FC