Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,022) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,088).

Gamba Osaka win36 %

Draw25 %

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Gamba Osaka 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 16, 2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
May 11, 2025	Gamba Osaka 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Dec 8, 2024	Gamba Osaka 3-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Sep 11, 2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Gamba Osaka	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.1	1.0	6	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?: Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.