Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Yokohama F. Marinos

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Yokohama F. Marinos starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,872).

Tokyo Verdy win27 %

Draw27 %

Yokohama F. Marinos win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Tokyo Verdy 0-6 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Feb 28, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Aug 9, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Apr 5, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Jun 29, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Feb 25, 2024	Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos?: The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.