Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki played?

Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya Grampus

V-varen Nagasaki

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and V-varen Nagasaki (1,910).

Nagoya Grampus win47 %

Draw24 %

V-varen Nagasaki win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 V-varen Nagasaki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Feb 21, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 1-3 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Sep 15, 2018	Nagoya Grampus 3-4 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
May 12, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 3-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Oct 21, 2017	V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J2 League
Jun 25, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 2-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J2 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki played?: Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.