Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Vissel Kobe (2,044) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 4-3 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vissel Kobe win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gamba Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gamba Osaka 5-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Gamba Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 3-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Gamba Osaka 0-1 Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gamba Osaka | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gamba Osaka.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 10, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsKyoto Sanga
- Mar 10, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Mar 10, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsKawasaki Frontale
- Mar 10, 2027UrawavsFC Tokyo
- Mar 10, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsV-varen Nagasaki
- Mar 10, 2027JEF United ChibavsTokyo Verdy
- Mar 10, 2027Machida ZelviavsKashima
- Mar 10, 2027Mito HollyhockvsCerezo Osaka