Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Daejeon World Cup Secondary Stadium, Daejeon
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Korail the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Gangneung City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City?
Daejeon Korail starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Daejeon Korail have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gangneung City have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(home) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Daejeon Korail win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gangneung City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gangneung City 0-3 Daejeon Korail | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Gangneung City 4-3 Daejeon Korail | K3 League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Daejeon Korail 1-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Gangneung City 3-2 Daejeon Korail | K3 League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Daejeon Korail 1-0 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Gangneung City 2-2 Daejeon Korail | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gangneung City vs Daejeon Korail on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Daejeon Korail score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gangneung City score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Korail | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Gangneung City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Daejeon Korail sit 4th in K3 League (32 points from 19 matches) and Gangneung City sit 9th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Daejeon Korail | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Daejeon Korail | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 32 |
| 7 | Gangneung City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Gangneung City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Korail the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Gangneung City.
- Where and when is Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City played?
- Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City is played on October 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Daejeon World Cup Secondary Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.