Gateshead vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tamworth wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gateshead vs Tamworth?
Tamworth starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gateshead vs Tamworth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 28H. Holgate
- 6Jack Robinson
- 12P. Jameson
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 16R. Calder
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 12J. Rye
- 14O. Dyson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gateshead wins, 0 draws, 3 Tamworth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tamworth 3-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Gateshead 2-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Gateshead 0-2 Tamworth | National League |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Gateshead 5-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Tamworth 0-1 Gateshead | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tamworth | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gateshead sit 24th in National League (4 points from 13 matches) and Tamworth sit 18th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
A question about Gateshead vs Tamworth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Gateshead vs Tamworth played?
- Gateshead vs Tamworth is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.