Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano
The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Terranuova Traiana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Gavorrano (1,643) and Terranuova Traiana (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Terranuova Traiana have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gavorrano win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Terranuova Traiana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana 1-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gavorrano 0-1 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Gavorrano 2-2 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Terranuova Traiana 0-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Gavorrano 3-1 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Terranuova Traiana 0-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Terranuova Traiana vs Gavorrano on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavorrano | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Terranuova Traiana | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gavorrano sit 14th in Serie D - Girone E (37 points from 34 matches) and Terranuova Traiana sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 51 |
| 14 | Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana?
- The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Terranuova Traiana.
- Where and when is Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana played?
- Gavorrano vs Terranuova Traiana is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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