Match

Tau Altopascio vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Altopascio, Altopascio

Tau AltopascioGrassina

The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Grassina?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Tau Altopascio (1,770) and Grassina (1,760).

Tau Altopascio win49 %
Draw27 %
Grassina win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tau Altopascio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tau Altopascio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Seravezza(home)0-2Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Gavorrano(away)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Poggibonsi(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Cannara(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Grassina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2020Aglianese(away)3-3Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020Gavorrano(away)0-2Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020Flaminia(home)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020Cannara(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020Scandicci(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tau Altopascio1.31.338/157/15
Grassina1.51.158/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Tau Altopascio341897533363

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tau Altopascio vs Grassina?
The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Grassina.
Where and when is Tau Altopascio vs Grassina played?
Tau Altopascio vs Grassina is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tau Altopascio and Grassina

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