Match

Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi Zola: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Zucchini, Budrio

MezzolaraSasso Marconi Zola

The Footlab model makes Mezzolara the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Mezzolara (1,561) and Sasso Marconi Zola (1,641).

Mezzolara win44 %
Draw30 %
Sasso Marconi Zola win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mezzolara have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sasso Marconi Zola have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mezzolara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Progresso(home)1-2Serie D - Girone D
Apr 28, 2024Forli(away)0-2Serie D - Girone D
Apr 21, 2024Sammaurese(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 14, 2024Aglianese(home)0-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 7, 2024Sangiuliano City(away)1-2Serie D - Girone D
Sasso Marconi Zola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Imolese(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Progresso(away)1-4Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Imolese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mezzolara win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sasso Marconi Zola win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 23, 2020Mezzolara 2-2 Sasso Marconi ZolaSerie D - Girone D
Oct 19, 2019Sasso Marconi Zola 0-2 MezzolaraSerie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi Zola on Feb 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mezzolara0.81.546/158/15
Sasso Marconi Zola0.91.438/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
The Footlab model makes Mezzolara the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where and when is Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi Zola played?
Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi Zola is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mezzolara and Sasso Marconi Zola

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