Where and when is Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle played?

Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato

Prato

San Donato Tavarnelle

The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for San Donato Tavarnelle. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Prato starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,665).

Prato win54 %

Draw27 %

San Donato Tavarnelle win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; San Donato Tavarnelle have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Prato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Seravezza(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Robur Siena(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Montevarchi Calcio(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Grosseto(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

San Donato Tavarnelle
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Robur Siena(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Sangiovannese(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Grosseto(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Seravezza(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Grosseto(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Prato win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Donato Tavarnelle win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Prato 1-0 San Donato Tavarnelle	Serie D - Girone E
Nov 9, 2025	San Donato Tavarnelle 0-2 Prato	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Donato Tavarnelle score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Prato	1.6	0.6	10	5/15	6/15
San Donato Tavarnelle	1.0	0.9	4	7/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and San Donato Tavarnelle sit 12th (40 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Prato	34	20	5	9	49	29	63
12	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	9	13	12	30	35	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?: The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for San Donato Tavarnelle.
Where and when is Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle played?: Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.