Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk played?

Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Kotwica Kórnik

Gedania Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Gedania Gdansk the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Kotwica Kórnik (1,634) and Gedania Gdansk (1,668).

Kotwica Kórnik win34 %

Draw23 %

Gedania Gdansk win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 9, 2025	Gedania Gdansk 2-0 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 17, 2024	Kotwica Kórnik 2-3 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Kotwica Kórnik on Mar 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Gedania Gdansk the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk played?: Kotwica Kórnik vs Gedania Gdansk is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.