Flota Świnoujście vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście
The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Grom Nowy Staw?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Grom Nowy Staw (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Grom Nowy Staw | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Grom Nowy Staw | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Grom Nowy Staw?
- The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Grom Nowy Staw.
- Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Grom Nowy Staw played?
- Flota Świnoujście vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 10, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsElana Toruń
- Apr 10, 2027KaliszvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 10, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLipno Stęszew
- Apr 10, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsWda Świecie
- Apr 10, 2027LuzinovsUnia Swarzędz
- Apr 10, 2027Victoria WrześniavsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 10, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsGedania Gdansk