Gedania Gdansk vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Kluczevia Stargard starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 5-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-2 Gedania Gdansk | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gedania Gdansk | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Gedania Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Gedania Gdansk.
- Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Gedania Gdansk vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLuzino
- Mar 6, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsPolonia Środa
- Mar 6, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 6, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsElana Toruń
- Mar 6, 2027Victoria WrześniavsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 6, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsKalisz
- Mar 6, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsWda Świecie
- Mar 6, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLech Poznań II