Match

Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września

Victoria WrześniaFlota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).

Victoria Września win33 %
Draw25 %
Flota Świnoujście win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Victoria Września
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-5III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Luzino(home)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Środa(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-5III Liga - Group 2
Flota Świnoujście
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Victoria Września(home)5-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kalisz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Victoria Września win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Flota Świnoujście 5-0 Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 14, 2026Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 27, 2025Victoria Września 1-2 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Victoria Września1.11.748/159/15
Flota Świnoujście1.31.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Flota Świnoujście531110310
16Victoria Września51044143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście?
The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście played?
Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Victoria Września and Flota Świnoujście

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