Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września
The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Victoria Września win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Flota Świnoujście win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście 5-0 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Victoria Września 1-2 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście?
- The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście played?
- Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLuzino
- Mar 6, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsPolonia Środa
- Mar 6, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 6, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsElana Toruń
- Mar 6, 2027Gedania GdanskvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 6, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsKalisz
- Mar 6, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsWda Świecie
- Mar 6, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLech Poznań II