Geita Gold vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Young Africans?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,973 Elo points against 1,473, a 500-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Geita Gold win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Young Africans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | Young Africans 1-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Geita Gold 0-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Young Africans 3-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Geita Gold 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Geita Gold 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Young Africans 1-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Geita Gold on Mar 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 5th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and Young Africans sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs Young Africans played?
- Geita Gold vs Young Africans is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.