Mashujaa vs Dodoma Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Dodoma Jiji. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Dodoma Jiji?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Mashujaa (1,525) and Dodoma Jiji (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dodoma Jiji have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | KMC(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mashujaa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Dodoma Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji 1-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Mashujaa 0-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Dodoma Jiji 3-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Mashujaa 1-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Mashujaa 3-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Dodoma Jiji 1-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Dodoma Jiji vs Mashujaa on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dodoma Jiji score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 9th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 3 matches) and Dodoma Jiji sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mashujaa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Dodoma Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Dodoma Jiji.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Dodoma Jiji played?
- Mashujaa vs Dodoma Jiji is played on April 16, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.