Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, Morogoro
The Footlab model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Namungo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Polisi Tanzania (1,490) and Namungo (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polisi Tanzania have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Namungo have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam(away) | 0-8 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 6, 2023 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Polisi Tanzania win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Namungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | Namungo 0-2 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Namungo 1-2 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Namungo 0-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania on Jan 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Polisi Tanzania score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Namungo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polisi Tanzania sit 7th in Ligi kuu Bara (4 points from 2 matches) and Namungo sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo?
- The Footlab model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo played?
- Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.