Fountain Gate vs Tabora United: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab AI model makes Tabora United the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tabora United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Tabora United?
Tabora United starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fountain Gate vs Tabora United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 20A. Athuman
- 27Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 67M. Balama
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 29J. Shiga
- 19A. Mtambi
- 18I. Parapanda
Tabora United
4-3-3- 30J. Akandwanaho
- 26Ayoub Lyanga
- 45E. Mwanengo
- 6S. Hoza
- 55Tobias Otieno
- 19M. Yassin
- 5N. Kombo
- 4Shariff Majabe
- 22J. Lazarus
- 60E. Manyama
- 18D. Mgore
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tabora United have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fountain Gate wins, 3 draws, 1 Tabora United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Tabora United 1-2 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Fountain Gate 1-4 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Fountain Gate 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Tabora United 1-3 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Tabora United 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Fountain Gate 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Tabora United vs Fountain Gate on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tabora United score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Tabora United | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (5 points from 8 matches) and Tabora United sit 13th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Fountain Gate vs Tabora United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Tabora United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tabora United the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Tabora United played?
- Fountain Gate vs Tabora United is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.