Getafe vs Atletico Madrid: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Getafe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Madrid wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Getafe
4-5-1- 19E. Ünal
- 10M. Satriano
- 8N. Gudelj
- 11Ramón Terrats
- 20Iván Azón
- 16Francho Serrano
- 2D. Dakonam
- 24Z. Romero
- 22J. Mojica
- 21Andrés García
- 13David Soria
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 7Lee Kang-In
- 11A. Lookman
- 10Álex Baena
- 20G. Simeone
- 5J. Cardoso
- 6Koke
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 21C. Romero
- 17D. Hancko
- 13J. Oblak
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Madrid have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Getafe win, 0 draws, 5 Atletico Madrid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid 4-1 Getafe | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Getafe 0-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Getafe 2-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Atletico Madrid 5-0 Getafe | Copa del Rey |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Madrid vs Getafe on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Madrid score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Getafe sit 11th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Atletico Madrid sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Getafe.
- Where and when is Getafe vs Atletico Madrid played?
- Getafe vs Atletico Madrid is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Coliseum, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.