Athletic Club vs Espanyol: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,138 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
On Elo ratings, Athletic Club has 2,094 points and Espanyol 2,040.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club vs Espanyol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 9I. Williams
- 16Ruíz de Galarreta
- 23Robert Navarro
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 31J. Louis-Jean
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 1Unai Simón
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 10Pol Lozano
- 24T. Dolan
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 1Ángel Fortuño
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Espanyol have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Athletic Club wins, 1 draw, 2 Espanyol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Espanyol 2-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Athletic Club 1-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Espanyol 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Athletic Club 4-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Athletic Club 1-0 Espanyol | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Espanyol vs Athletic Club on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 13th in La Liga (9 points from 8 matches) and Espanyol sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Espanyol played?
- Athletic Club vs Espanyol is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at San Mamés Barria, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.