Athletic Club vs Espanyol: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
The Footlab model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Athletic Club (2,053) and Espanyol (2,039).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Espanyol have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Athletic Club win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Espanyol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Espanyol 2-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Athletic Club 1-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Espanyol 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Athletic Club 4-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Athletic Club 1-0 Espanyol | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Espanyol vs Athletic Club on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Espanyol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 18th in La Liga (0 points from 1 matches) and Espanyol sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Espanyol?
- The Footlab model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Espanyol played?
- Athletic Club vs Espanyol is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at San Mamés Barria, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.