Elche vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Elche the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Elche (2,043) and Athletic Club (2,089).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche vs Athletic Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche
5-3-2- 14Fer Niño
- 20Tete Morente
- 12Gonzalo Villar
- 8Marc Aguado
- 18T. Lemar
- 11Germán Valera
- 23Víctor Chust
- 3R. Revivo
- 47J. Morcillo
- 2Buba Sangaré
- 1M. Dituro
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 9I. Williams
- 8Oihan Sancet
- 16Ruíz de Galarreta
- 23Robert Navarro
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 12Jesús Areso
- 4Aitor Paredes
- 1Unai Simón
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Athletic Club have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elche win, 2 draws, 3 Athletic Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Athletic Club 2-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Elche 0-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| May 28, 2023 | Athletic Club 0-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Elche 1-4 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Athletic Club 2-1 Elche | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Elche on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Athletic Club | 2.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche sit 18th in La Liga (6 points from 8 matches) and Athletic Club sit 10th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Elche vs Athletic Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Elche vs Athletic Club played?
- Elche vs Athletic Club is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.